Dear Colleagues,
In accordance with Section 25 of the Local Government Act 2003, I am writing to provide my statutory opinion on the robustness of the budget estimates and the adequacy of the proposed reserves for the financial year 2027/28.
Robustness of estimates
I have reviewed the budget assumptions set out at Appendix 1, in particular the proposed in-year savings of £8.6M, the assumed council tax base growth of 1.2%, and the borrowing capacity calculations underpinning the second phase of the Town Centre Regeneration Programme.
In respect of the proposed savings, I note that £4.1M is dependent on a delivery profile that has not been achieved in the preceding three financial years. I draw Members' attention to this in the strongest terms.
In respect of the Town Centre Regeneration borrowing, the Prudential Code calculation assumes anchor tenant occupancy at 92%. Current occupancy is 71%. I note that the report before Members materially overstates the affordability of the proposed borrowing.
Adequacy of reserves
The proposed General Fund balance of £14M represents approximately 4.3 months of net revenue expenditure. This is below the level I would consider prudent for a council with the dossier exposures identified at Appendix 2 (including the Equal Pay liability, currently estimated at £42M).
I am required to make this report in writing. It will be made available to Members at the budget-setting meeting and will be a public document thereafter.
Yours sincerely,
Director of Finance & Section 151 Officer